Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.017711 0.022305 0.028396 0.037343 0.050678 0.070790 0.105643
2025-01-19 0.012937 0.018043 0.025943 0.040055 0.067323 0.125710 0.296923
2025-01-26 0.010893 0.016271 0.025546 0.044791 0.091330 0.234170 1.111085
2025-02-02 0.009581 0.015082 0.025415 0.049756 0.122456 0.458134 8.727761
2025-02-09 0.008245 0.013422 0.023710 0.050176 0.142981 0.766717 585.917050
2025-02-16 0.007267 0.012163 0.022366 0.050725 0.166493 1.364988 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006483 0.011100 0.021106 0.050825 0.190384 2.564014 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005692 0.009872 0.019139 0.047766 0.194510 3.852669 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005127 0.009017 0.017853 0.046363 0.208106 7.177494 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004763 0.008524 0.017336 0.047419 0.243657 24.990869 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004423 0.008028 0.016694 0.047727 0.277371 165.195871 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004052 0.007416 0.015623 0.045852 0.287749 2050.268595 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003702 0.006854 0.014711 0.044861 0.316744 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003518 0.006649 0.014756 0.048322 0.433350 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003410 0.006599 0.015238 0.054487 0.685681 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003302 0.006533 0.015653 0.061025 1.139522 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003097 0.006193 0.015113 0.061581 1.451277 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002919 0.005895 0.014642 0.062309 1.895011 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002752 0.005604 0.014130 0.062441 2.431329 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002547 0.005196 0.013132 0.058395 2.375206 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002391 0.004898 0.012473 0.056548 2.645790 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002290 0.004733 0.012249 0.057938 3.811288 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002185 0.004549 0.011925 0.058344 5.240389 NaN NaN